Taken on its premises at least, I think this piece inadvertently fails to make a case for why "pure mathematics" should persist as a field of human or machine activity. A real-world system with the abilities of a robustly superintelligent mathematician can, when some practical problem requires it, formulate a problem statement, churn for a bit, spit out a formalized answer, and continue whatever outer-loop task it was doing without a human even finding out.
If you have a system that gives you arbitrary on-demand math results, dedicating any resources, be they human labor or compute, to producing them for their own sake just seems like a waste. Why catalog the Library of Babel?
There's a substantial gap between "the machine is better than human mathematicians" and "the machine can formalize a solution to any problem immediately." Much of the important mathematical theory behind modern science was mapped out in advance by mathematicians, and scientists were able to find and take advantage of this mathematics where applicable. Mapping out our understanding of e.g. physics and our understanding of mathematics in parallel and finding connections later has historically been a highly successful approach, and I see no reason to believe the same would not be true for advanced machines. Would Einstein have been able to formulate GR without the existing theory of differential geometry? Maybe, but maybe not. Would an advanced machine be able to develop the theory of differential geometry in response to gravitational measurements? Maybe, but maybe not.
Edit: Perhaps I could have been terser here. Really the idea is that small jumps are easier to make than big jumps. Continually developing pure mathematics is a way to make small jumps in logic and intuition add up to big jumps in applications.
I don't see a reason this dynamic couldn't continue with zero dedicated effort toward "pure math" as such. Fundamentally, the function of math in practical application is producing deterministic(or stochastic, but obviously not in the LLM sense) models that, given initial observations/conditions, are capable of predicting some aspect of the future with reasonable accuracy. In the same way that human society does, a machine would grab the physics rung before the theory rung every time, but why does that matter? If progress is stuck, the machine turns the gauge away from "exploit" and toward "explore" and put together a bag of new tools it can sequentially try on the real-world problem.
I still don't see a role for humans in this process. They might direct the practical/physical aspect(if AI turns out to be less superhuman there) but they'd likely turn the hard conceptual problems over to the machine and never look inside the box - no human alive could understand even the smallest part of what's going on in there in less than a thousand lifetimes anyway.
There are some parallels here to AI coding where even if the AI can write all the code, it's still valuable to have a human who can read and understand the code to verify correctness. The same is true of AI generated math proofs that humans will want to verify are around before they feed them back into the AI and build new insights.
> A real-world system with the abilities of a robustly superintelligent mathematician can, when some practical problem requires it, formulate a problem statement, churn for a bit, spit out a formalized answer, and continue whatever outer-loop task it was doing without a human even finding out.
Without anyone ever finding out.
In the long run this means almost no progress past what we already have, because there's no shoulders of giants to stand on. Not even AI shoulders.
Thanks to AI, right now there's more mathematicians in software business than developers. And some of them actually used to be developers. Or managers.
It may have been a little bit more interesting than the title would lead you to believe not but haruspicy is not a key affordance of mathematician so it still probably wasn't worth the read
> What I find striking here is that there are both fewer questions and fewer answers.
Assuming the ratio of answers per question remains the same (or drops because the answer quality raises) this is the sort of thing I would suspect.
It wouldn't even be theoretically surprising if the number of Qs & As on MathOverflow trend down purely because all the easy questions get answered. Wouldn't necessarily expect that, but because we can't really anticipate whether questions should trend up/down/sideways I don't think analysing MathOverflow is really all that interesting. Like the writer observes, kids these days are probably all over on Discord.
Taken on its premises at least, I think this piece inadvertently fails to make a case for why "pure mathematics" should persist as a field of human or machine activity. A real-world system with the abilities of a robustly superintelligent mathematician can, when some practical problem requires it, formulate a problem statement, churn for a bit, spit out a formalized answer, and continue whatever outer-loop task it was doing without a human even finding out.
If you have a system that gives you arbitrary on-demand math results, dedicating any resources, be they human labor or compute, to producing them for their own sake just seems like a waste. Why catalog the Library of Babel?
There's a substantial gap between "the machine is better than human mathematicians" and "the machine can formalize a solution to any problem immediately." Much of the important mathematical theory behind modern science was mapped out in advance by mathematicians, and scientists were able to find and take advantage of this mathematics where applicable. Mapping out our understanding of e.g. physics and our understanding of mathematics in parallel and finding connections later has historically been a highly successful approach, and I see no reason to believe the same would not be true for advanced machines. Would Einstein have been able to formulate GR without the existing theory of differential geometry? Maybe, but maybe not. Would an advanced machine be able to develop the theory of differential geometry in response to gravitational measurements? Maybe, but maybe not.
Edit: Perhaps I could have been terser here. Really the idea is that small jumps are easier to make than big jumps. Continually developing pure mathematics is a way to make small jumps in logic and intuition add up to big jumps in applications.
I don't see a reason this dynamic couldn't continue with zero dedicated effort toward "pure math" as such. Fundamentally, the function of math in practical application is producing deterministic(or stochastic, but obviously not in the LLM sense) models that, given initial observations/conditions, are capable of predicting some aspect of the future with reasonable accuracy. In the same way that human society does, a machine would grab the physics rung before the theory rung every time, but why does that matter? If progress is stuck, the machine turns the gauge away from "exploit" and toward "explore" and put together a bag of new tools it can sequentially try on the real-world problem.
I still don't see a role for humans in this process. They might direct the practical/physical aspect(if AI turns out to be less superhuman there) but they'd likely turn the hard conceptual problems over to the machine and never look inside the box - no human alive could understand even the smallest part of what's going on in there in less than a thousand lifetimes anyway.
There are some parallels here to AI coding where even if the AI can write all the code, it's still valuable to have a human who can read and understand the code to verify correctness. The same is true of AI generated math proofs that humans will want to verify are around before they feed them back into the AI and build new insights.
> A real-world system with the abilities of a robustly superintelligent mathematician can, when some practical problem requires it, formulate a problem statement, churn for a bit, spit out a formalized answer, and continue whatever outer-loop task it was doing without a human even finding out.
Without anyone ever finding out.
In the long run this means almost no progress past what we already have, because there's no shoulders of giants to stand on. Not even AI shoulders.
> The End of Mathematics
Thanks to AI, right now there's more mathematicians in software business than developers. And some of them actually used to be developers. Or managers.
Seems like clickbait so I'm not clicking it
Same. There is such a thing as a title being too ridiculous or provoking to want to read the article
It may have been a little bit more interesting than the title would lead you to believe not but haruspicy is not a key affordance of mathematician so it still probably wasn't worth the read
It's speculative fiction written by a professional mathematician about his idea of the worst case scenario of AI's effect on math.
And most of the discussion would immediately apply to almost any other facet of society…
...on openai request to spin up some critihype
> What I find striking here is that there are both fewer questions and fewer answers.
Assuming the ratio of answers per question remains the same (or drops because the answer quality raises) this is the sort of thing I would suspect.
It wouldn't even be theoretically surprising if the number of Qs & As on MathOverflow trend down purely because all the easy questions get answered. Wouldn't necessarily expect that, but because we can't really anticipate whether questions should trend up/down/sideways I don't think analysing MathOverflow is really all that interesting. Like the writer observes, kids these days are probably all over on Discord.